U.S. stocks jumped and bonds
edged higher Monday, with the Dow Jones industrial average
scoring its highest close in more than three months, on
optimism that the Federal Reserve is done with raising interest
rates for now.
The yen fell broadly, dipping to two-week lows against the
dollar, amid concerns about Japan's economy after last week's
interest-rate hike.
Crude oil futures rallied to their highest levels in almost
a month amid frenzied buying late in the session, while coffee
tumbled to six-year lows on all-round selling.
The Dow Jones industrial average climbed 148.34
points, or 1.35 percent, to close at 11,176.14, based on the
latest numbers. This marked the Dow's highest finish since
April 11.
On Friday, the Dow pierced the psychologically key 11,000
level for the first time in 3-1/2 months.
Money flowed into shares of interest-rate-sensitive
financial services companies and retailers, giving the market a
surge of energy.
"People are convinced that we're not going to have a rate
hike, and that alone is enough to promote positive
psychological buying patterns in the market,'' said Barry Hyman,
market strategist for Ehrenkrantz, King, Nussbaum.
The Federal Reserve meets Aug. 22 to decide the fate of
U.S. interest rates. The central bank has tightened monetary
policy six times last June, and Wall Street had begun to worry
more hikes would bite into corporate profits.
Technology shares also heated up, caught in the backdraft
as semiconductor shares made a blazing rebound from recent
declines.
The technology-stacked Nasdaq Composite Index,
meanwhile, rose 60.22 points, or 1.59 percent, to 3,849.69,
while the broader Standard & Poor's 500 Index climbed
19.72 points, or 1.34 percent, to 1,491.56.
But the market's rally was tempered by modest trading
volumes, with many Wall Streeters taking summer vacations,
traders said.
"It's difficult to get a great deal of excitement about the
marketplace when a lot of the players are on the beach,'' said
Arthur Hogan, chief market analyst at Jefferies & Co.
J.P. Morgan & Co. Inc. was leading the Dow higher,
rallying 4-1/16 to 147-15/16, as investors guessed the coast
was clear in terms of the Fed and scooped up shares of banks
and brokerages.
Hewlett-Packard Co. also bolstered the Dow, plowing
3-15/16 higher to 113-15/16. The personal computer giant is set
to report its earnings on Wednesday.
On the Nasdaq, Dell Computer Corp. was the
technology-heavy gauge's most active stock, falling 1 to
36-11/16 after analysts forecast a less robust second half for
the world's No. 2 personal computer maker.
But computer chip makers gave the Nasdaq a jolt, and the
Philadelphia Stock Exchange's semiconductor index
blasted 7.71 percent higher. The sector had suffered recently
amid fears of a cyclical slowdown. Semiconductor giant Intel
Corp. rose 3-1/8 to 66-15/16.
Analysts said data on U.S. consumer prices scheduled for
release on Wednesday was expected to do little to shake Wall
Street's confidence that the Fed's cycle of higher interest
rates is drawing to a close.
"The consensus is that the Fed will not do anything, and as
a result, people are trying to position themselves ahead of
that news,'' said George Rodriguez, senior vice president at
Guzman & Co.
"I expect the market to get stronger in anticipation that
things will stay status quo,'' Rodriguez added.
Monday's economic news was mostly encouraging. U.S.
business inventories piled up at a stronger-than-expected 0.9
percent in June. Economists had forecast a gain of 0.5
percent.
A rise in inventories can indicate either a weakening in
demand, which could mean that goods are accumulating on
producers' shelves, or stockpiling by businesses in
anticipation of more vigorous sales.
The benchmark 30-year U.S. Treasury bond rose 7/32, or
$2.1875 on each $1,000 of face value. The yield, which moves in
the opposite direction, fell to 5.69 percent from 5.71 percent
at Friday's close. The 10-year Treasury note gained 4/32 to
yield 5.78 percent, down from 5.79 percent.
The euro settled at 90.52 cents, up from 90.22 cents late
Friday. The dollar rose to 109.44 yen on Monday from 108.49 yen
on Friday.
At the New York Mercantile Exchange, crude oil futures
peaked at $32 a barrel, buoyed by late buying. Heating oil and
gasoline futures also climbed ahead of the release of closely
watched industry inventory data on Tuesday after the end of
regular trading. September delivery crude oil settled at
$31.94, rising 92 cents from Friday's close. September heating
oil futures settled at 87.34 cents a gallon, up 1.52 cents.
Late buying of gasoline futures pushed the September
delivery contract to the day's peak of 92.30 cents a gallon
before settling at 92.02 cents, up 0.83 of a cent.
On the Coffee, Sugar & Cocoa Exchange, which is part of the
New York Board of Trade, coffee futures settled Monday at
six-year lows. The price drop reflected the market's reaction
to mild weather in Brazil, the world's No. 1 coffee producer,
and expectations of data showing an increase in coffee
stockpiles. September delivery coffee fell 1.85 cents to end at
78.80 cents a pound, after hitting a new lifetime low of 76.50
cents a pound.
Overseas, London's FTSE-100 index closed at
6,419.9, up 35.4 points, or 0.55 percent. In Tokyo, the
benchmark Nikkei average rose 36.41 points, or 0.23
percent, to finish at 16,153.91.